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updated Sun. May 6, 2018

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President Donald Trump on Tuesday sent out a personal “thank you” to right-leaning pollster Rasmussen Reports, whose daily tracking poll gave him a 50 percent approval rating on Monday — despite the fact that every other pollster in the United States has pegged his approval significantly lower.
Pollster says Trump approval hit the 'Stormy Effect' after adult film star's interview A new poll showed that women were less likely to support President Donald Trump after the Stormy Daniels interview, while men were slightly more likely to support him after the same. (Image Source: YouTube screenshot ...

The 2018 ad wars are still in their infancy, but “you're going to see a lot of her,” said GOP pollster Gene Ulm of Public Opinion Strategies, calling Pelosi “the gift that keeps on giving.” “We're going to spend millions and millions of dollars reminding voters across the country why Nancy Pelosi is bad for the ...
Donald Trump's marks are low in the Franklin & Marshall College survey, but people say the state is headed in the right direction. Written by Mike Urban. Lancaster, PA —. Donald Trump is doing a poor job as president, according to most of the Pennsylvania voters who took part in a statewide Franklin ...
The Democratic pollster to whom Rahm Emanuel once famously sent a dead fish on Thursday delivered the political version of a dead fish to the mayor's doorstep: a poll that, Alan Secrest claims, shows Emanuel is unelectable. The poll of 800 registered and likely Chicago voters—with a 3.5 percent margin ...
Rasmussen rose to prominence again in 2016, when it accurately predicted the Presidential Election Popular Vote and was one of the few US pollsters to consistently warn that Hilary Clinton was far from a sure thing as the winner of the US presidency. The firm conducts year-round polls over the phone ...

TEMPO.CO, Jakarta - The possibility of a third political spectrum emerging in the 2019 presidential election has made the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) wary of the candidate they endorse, President Joko Widodo or Jokowi. “The fight can extend to a long period of time, it can also split the ...
Well, I run a company with about 50-60 people, and I am the CEO, but in the context of being a pollster in a campaign, that's probably a little bit more interesting. I think when a campaign—well, look, we bring a unique perspective because we have a lot of expertise in language, and a lot of the people that ...
However, lawmakers around the country would be wise not to rush to judgment, especially because upon closer inspection of the methodology of leading polls, the numbers may not be what the pollsters would like you to believe. Among the top three polls cited recently by Politico as proof that Americans ...
The voter turnout at the presidential election in Russia will be from 63$ to 67%, according to a forecast by the Russian Public Opinion Research Center (WCIOM). The pollsters expect that current president Vladimir Putin will have 69-73% of the votes, candidate from the Communist Party Pavel Grudinin ...
Sabato's Crystal Ball incorrectly predicted, like so many others, that Hillary Clinton would win the presidential election in 2016. Kondik says a lot of pollsters got caught up in Donald Trump's "strange candidacy," but traditional, political science models still have a track record of accurately predicting elections.
A respected Russian-language business newspaper is reporting a 12-percent drop in President Vladimir Putin's popularity in cities with more than 1 million inhabitants between mid-January and mid-February. Moscow-based Vedomosti, which was once a joint venture between Dow Jones, the Financial ...
Since the beginning of 2018, six live interview pollsters have asked Americans whether they have a favorable or unfavorable (or positive or negative in the case of NBC News and the Wall Street Journal) view of Trump. In an average of the the last survey conducted by each of them, Trump's net favorability ...
In 2016, public opinion polling suffered two epic failures. Because polls erred in predicting the winners in both the Brexit referendum and the U.S. presidential election, critics have dissected pollsters' questions and their methods. But a very insidious source of error has remained hidden from public view: ...
Washington (CNN) This past weekend Marquette University Law School Professor Charles Franklin published an interesting analysis of President Donald Trump's approval rating. He noted that Trump tends to do better in polls in which there isn't a live interviewer present. The Washington Post's Philip ...
Because polls erred in predicting the winners in both the Brexit referendum and the U.S. presidential election, critics have dissected pollsters' questions and their methods. But a very insidious source of error has remained hidden from public view: margins of error and the way in which pollsters calculate ...
The Yale Politics Initiative hosted its first “Off the Record” master class on Wednesday with Joel Benenson, who played a key role as a pollster in three successful Democratic presidential campaigns — former President Bill Clinton's LAW '73 1996 campaign and former President Barack Obama's 2008 and ...

Neil Newhouse, Republican pollster and Duke alumnus (BA'74), spent much of Jan. 30 with Duke students to share perspectives on polling, contemporary politics, and Washington, D.C., careers. Newhouse is the co-founder of Public Opinion Strategies, was the lead pollster during Sen. John McCain's ...
Tavis McGinn applied for a job at Facebook last year hoping to work in market research. He had previously spent three years at Google, where he helped large advertisers refine their marketing campaigns across the company's family of products. But part way through the interview process at Facebook, the ...
Rasmussen Reports, the Republican-friendly pollster that is frequently cited by President Donald Trump, has found that a plurality of voters think Trump would hurt local candidates by campaigning for them in their districts. According to the pollster, 40 percent of likely voters think Trump campaigning in their ...
Today we are more open about mental health issues than ever. But we rarely discuss how things like depression and anxiety affect our work lives. So Glamour partnered with health and wellness site Thrive Global and pollster SurveyMonkey to ask more than 1,300 women how mental health issues—theirs ...
If you were shocked at how wrong the pollsters were in the 2016 elections, get ready for more surprises. A new study led by Houshmand Shirani-Mehr and Sharad Goel, assistant professor of management science and engineering, finds that the actual error rates of polls are about twice as high as their ...
Ann Selzer, a pollster from the Des Moines Register, could provide a solution. This upcoming Tuesday, Feb. 13, Selzer will deliver a speech titled “What Comes Next: Understanding the Election of 2016 and What it Means for the Future” in JRC 101 at 11 a.m. Selzer was called the “Best Pollster in Politics” ...
Pollsters say the vote could yield various ruling alliances. If the center-right falls short, Forza Italia could split with its right-wing Northern League allies and hook up with the PD, or 5-Star could join forces with the League. At the same time, none of these permutations may have enough seats to govern.
To avoid a repeat of recent polling misses, some survey researchers are now giving their clients numbers from multiple turnout models. “Instead of a assuming something, we're going to say, 'here's what happens under a higher Democratic turnout scenario,'” said Jefrey Pollock, a Democratic pollster with ...
The Yale Politics Initiative hosted its first “Off the Record” master class on Wednesday with Joel Benenson, who played a key role as a pollster in three successful Democratic presidential campaigns — former President Bill Clinton's LAW '73 1996 campaign and former President Barack Obama's 2008 and ...
In an unusually positive review, Democratic pollster John Zogby said that President Trump brought his “A game” to the State of the Union Address and bolstered chances that the GOP will retain control of Congress in the midterm elections and maybe his own re-election odds. “He hit a solid triple tonight.
Theresa May will hold talks with her top team on how to head off major losses in the upcoming local elections, as one of the country's top pollsters warned Brexit could hit Tory electoral chances. Elections expert Sir John Curtice, who predicted last year's shock election result, said the Conservatives could ...
President Donald Trump, who won Michigan in the 2016 campaign by 10,704 votes, seems to be losing some support here. His approval rating is just below 40 percent among Michigan voters, according to a new poll commissioned by The Detroit News and WDIV Local 4. The poll was conducted Jan 16-19 ...
President Donald Trump, who won Michigan in the 2016 campaign by 10,704 votes, seems to be losing some support here. His approval rating is just below 40 percent among Michigan voters, according to a new poll commissioned by The Detroit News and WDIV Local 4. The poll was conducted Jan 16-19 ...
... him soundly in an election a couple years off. By the way, do you also remember that his last opponent (crooked Hillary) had every legitimate poll showing her winning by at least 5 to 8 points? Guess you are hoping that today's pollsters are not from the same organizations as those prior to the election.
Typically, pollsters who only want to query likely voters will start with state or county voter registration files to gather names of people who have voted in two or more of the last four general elections, said Vaughn. Calls off that list then usually begin with a screening question to confirm each person is likely to ...
Unlike his recent predecessors, he took office with Americans equally split between approving and disapproving of his job performance, according to HuffPost Pollster's average of public polling ― and that marked a relative high point. Within a month, Trump saw his disapproval ratings begin to rise as those ...
But how pollsters ask about the situation matters. And using recent ... But the discrepancy between the responses underlines how much it matters what frame Americans will use to think about the shutdown when they're not being directly asked by pollsters ― or how much they'll be thinking about it at all.
DURHAM — Andrew Smith and other pollsters learned an important lesson from the 2016 presidential election: The people you don't survey are as important as those you do survey in determining the results of a political poll. Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, said pollsters ...
A man walks past a Russian President Vladimir Putin's campaign poster reading 'Strong president - strong Russia' and 'Presidential elections will be held in Russia in March 18' in Moscow, Russia, Monday, Jan. 15, 2018. Putin is set to easily win another six-year term in the vote. (AP Photo/Alexander ...
Speaking at the Brookings Institution in Washington, D.C., Yasushi Kudo, of Genron NPO, who partnered in conducting the most recent survey of American and Japanese opinion on the nuclear crisis with North Korea, said through a translator the new findings “could [create] a serious discussion of having ...
Anderson — whose firm, Anderson Robbins Research, works for clients such as the American Civil Liberties Union of Massachusetts, is the Democratic pollster for Fox News, and conducted surveys for the successful 2016 Massachusetts marijuana legalization ballot question — also happens to be the ...
A memorial and celebration of life for California pollster Jim Moore will be held Jan. 19 in the Napa Valley. Moore died Jan. 1 at his home in the El Dorado County community of Camino. He was 66. He had suffered from heart problems and had been in declining health for some time, said his partner, Jan ...
Gallup's announcement leaves the Republican-leaning pollster Rasmussen Reports as the only remaining public source of daily presidential approval updates. Trump last week touted his 46-percent approval rating in the Rasmussen poll — even though a 53 percent majority still disapproved of his job ...
Elucd, a startup offering police departments a way to regularly survey their communities, has raised $1 million. The seed round comes courtesy of the Y Combinator accelerator, which Elucd participated in last year, and the nonprofit Omidyar Network. The company is relatively young, having launched in the ...
DES MOINES — A majority of Iowa voters would prefer fully funded public services such education and water quality to a tax cut, and four out of five believe the state's minimum wage should be increased. That's according to a poll published Monday by the progressive advocacy group Progress Iowa.
For pollster Jim Moore, politics was all about numbers, and his firm J. Moore Methods supplied the statistics that guided local and statewide campaigns in California for three decades. “His skills are unmatched in California policy and politics,” said Carl Guardino, president and CEO of the Silicon Valley ...
2016 was a bad year for pollsters. After failing to predict Brexit and Donald Trump's presidential victory, some were writing the industry's obituary. But while pollsters were down, they were not out. And by 2017, they would swing to an impressive comeback. The year started with a number of crucial European ...
Jones won in part by turning out “people who have never come out in a midterm or special election,” John Anzalone, a Democratic pollster based in Alabama, told CNN, describing those voters as “disproportionately our people.” Democrats, noted Chris Jackson of the polling firm Ipsos, voted last week as if ...
WASHINGTON — The entire political world is watching Alabama's Senate race, but what happens Tuesday is anybody's guess. The highly unusual nature of the election, along with the difficulty faced by pollsters, has made the race murkier than a cypress swamp. Recent polls show Republican Roy Moore ...
Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg hired a full-time public opinion researcher to study what people around the world thought of him, The Verge reports. The pollster, Tavis McGinn, joined Facebook in April 2017, but quit after six months. There, he completed eight custom surveys and four focus groups in three ...
Tavis McGinn applied for a job at Facebook last year hoping to work in market research. He had previously spent three years at Google, where he helped large advertisers refine their marketing campaigns across the company's family of products. But part way through the interview process at Facebook, the ...
Friends and relatives will gather tomorrow evening to celebrate the life of Jim Moore, an Arcata native who became one of California's must trusted political pollsters. Moore, who had been in declining health, died unexpectedly in his El Dorado County home Jan. 1. He was 66. Born March 28, 1951, the son ...
DURHAM -- Andrew Smith and other pollsters learned an important lesson from the 2016 presidential election: The people you don't survey are as important as those you do survey in determining the results of a political poll. Smith, director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center, said pollsters ...


 

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