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 Mark Blumenthal

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Sat. November 22, 2008

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... poll," because it was not an attempt to influence respondents by faking opinion research, as former pollster Mark Blumenthal explained on his blog. ...
Nate Silver knows from polls, and while he's using a definition slightly different than Mark Blumenthal's from yesterday, I think he makes a good case that ...
As for that "push poll," you'll be shocked to learn that Crowther is trying to hustle you again. As professional pollster Mark Blumenthal explains: Many ...
by Mark Blumenthal How did the polls do last week? Quite well. While we worried about the many challenges, the telephone survey again defied the odds and ...

"The polls generally did quite well," said Mark Blumenthal, editor and publisher of Pollster.com, a Web site that tracks elections. ...
... that there was no Bradley effect," said Mark Blumenthal, the editor and publisher of Pollster.com, a Web site that publishes and analyzes poll results. ...
He'll be joined at points during the evening by Mark Blumenthal, editor of Pollster.com; Ryan Thornburg of the Project on Public Life at the University of ...
But here's some advice from Pollster.com blogger, Mark Blumenthal: Everyone wants to know as much as possible about the outcome of this election as soon as ...
For Mark Blumenthal, editor of Pollster.com, polls can bring otherwise-distant politicians to understand reality, but some important technical issues blunt ...
Mark Blumenthal no longer conducts polls, instead analyzing them at Pollster.com. But from his former career as a Democratic pollster, he describes the ...
As Pollster's Mark Blumenthal recently reported, "even the most rigorous national surveys struggle to achieve response rates over 30 percent"; ...
It's one place where we actually can say that the polls appear to be tightening, though as Pollster.com's Mark Blumenthal noted, 'most of the change in ...
But how accurate are these polls? Mark Blumenthal, editor of Pollster.com, tells host Liane Hansen the latest poll numbers really mean.
But I'm no expert on this question, so I asked Mark Blumenthal of Pollster.com what he thought. He tells me: "If they have been weighting by party, ...
Pollster.com's Mark Blumenthal on the trackers: they look "mostly like random variation." He said mostly! Not entirely! And then this: You see a hint of a ...
... movement--one or two percentage points on the margin--is "well within the usual range of sampling noise," according to Pollster's Mark Blumenthal. ...
"Recently in [pollster] Mark Blumenthal's compilation he argues that the Obama lead has narrowed ever so slightly in recent days, it's now at about 6.7 ...
"That's an enormous part of this phenomenon - no one has the time to collect all that information," said Mark Blumenthal, who started Pollster.com in 2006 ...
Nate Silver and Mark Blumenthal, whose sites aggregate and evaluate multiple polls, also tackled this question. Meanwhile, Real Clear Politics' Jay Cost ...
Blumenthal is editor and publisher of Pollster.com, a Web site that publishes daily poll results with commentary. While pollsters can still call cell phones ...
As Mark Blumenthal recently pointed out in a fascinating post, a validation survey in 1980 found that 88% of the registered voters who didn't vote that year ...
The Pollster.com tracking summary here by Mark Blumenthal has tabulated the current state figures at 268 safe Democrat Party votes and 38 leaning Democratic ...
Polling trend site Pollster.com, published by National Journal columnist and Democratic pollster Mark Blumenthal, and contrarian news, politics and culture ...
In a National Journal article in March, Mark Blumenthal of pollster.com stressed that overestimation of Obama support was already seen in Democratic ...
By George Bishop - October 23, 2008, 4:07PM A look at the latest round of national poll results at Pollster.com tells us that all "likely voters" are ...
... are Mark Blumenthal's "Mystery Pollster" posts from the 2004 election and Frank Newport's discussion of how Gallup screens for likely voters in 2008). ...
by Mark Blumenthal Last week we looked hard at the potential impact of "cell-phone-only" voters missing from many poll samples and found some evidence that ...
By Mark Blumenthal - October 20, 2008, 5:24PM My Pollster.com colleague David Moore is right that the standard vote choice question typically used by ...
Respected polling analyst Mark Blumenthal found that during the Democratic primaries this year, preliminary exit polls overestimated Obama's strength in 18 ...
Professional pollster Mark Blumenthal took a look at all six of the daily tracking polls for Sunday and came to a very different conclusion. ...
Respected polling analyst Mark Blumenthal found that during the Democratic primaries this year, preliminary exit polls overestimated Obama's strength in 18 ...
These include Real Clear Politics, Pollster.com and fivethirtyeight.com. All these sites place greater weight on more-recent polls. ...
Pollster.com founder Mark Blumenthal said he looks at about 16 new polls every day for the presidential election and six to seven for House and Senate races ...
You'd never see a poll conducted with just 30 respondents, because the margins of error would be around 18 (!) points. In addition, as Mark Blumenthal ...
by Mark Blumenthal As promised, let's take a look at how the growth of "cell-phone-only" households may be affecting the political polls we are all ...
Mark Blumenthal in the National Journal published a helpful column today, explaining the role of cell phone usage in skewing polling data. ...
... would talk on a phone that's plugged into a wire," said Pollster.com editor Mark Blumenthal, who is also a polling analyst for the National Journal. ...
Emergency sources to contact: the Gallup Poll's Jeff Jones, Scott Keeter at Pew, the Mystery Pollster, Mark Blumenthal, and David Gergen. ...
Obama's holy grail is what Mark Blumenthal, the editor and publisher of Pollster.com, refers to as "asymmetrical black turnout": Obama doesn't just need ...
To reach voters such as Morrison, says Mark Blumenthal, a former Democratic pollster who now edits pollster.com, McCain must link his character attacks to ...

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